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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.17 seconds per play.
  • Marquise Brown has run a route on 93.7% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
  • Our trusted projections expect Marquise Brown to total 8.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
  • In regards to air yards, Marquise Brown grades out in the towering 91st percentile among WRs this year, accruing a whopping 99.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The model projects the Cardinals as the 8th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cardinals O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Marquise Brown has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (60.0).
  • Marquise Brown's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 62.8% to 55.7%.

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