Marquise Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Marquise Brown

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Brown

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 26, 2022 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Trace McSorley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

Favors Under

Marquise Brown has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, playing on 94.8% of snaps compared to just 79.8% last year.
Marquise Brown has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a lowly 7.19 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 10th percentile among wideouts
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (63.6%) versus wide receivers this year (63.6%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus wide receivers this year, giving up 7.26 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.06 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.

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