Marquise Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Marquise Brown

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Brown

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Marquise Brown to total 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

Marquise Brown has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 95.3% of snaps compared to just 79.8% last season.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 128.0) vs. WRs this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.8%) vs. wideouts this year (64.8%).
The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against wideouts this year, giving up 6.83 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the league.
The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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