Marquise Brown Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Marquise Brown

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Brown

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquise Brown Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-230).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Marquise Brown has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% since the start of last season, which places him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
Marquise Brown has posted a monstrous 104.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered the 4th-least passing touchdowns in the league to wide receivers: 0.72 per game since the start of last season.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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