Marquez Valdes-Scantling Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Touchdowns

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 6:02 AM EST

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+525/-2757).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are enormous -7.5-point underdogs.
While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has garnered 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's passing attack near the end zone in this contest at 7.3%.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 55.8% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
With a 51.5% rate of running the ball near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league in these cases has been the Chargers.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Chargers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
With a lackluster 52.3% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.

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