Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-186/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -177 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 6th-most in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 53.9% to 61.2%.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (71.5%) vs. WRs this year (71.5%).

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, playing on 74.2% of snaps compared to just 62.6% last season.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.
The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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