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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bills as the 11th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are projected by the model to call just 60.2 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in football, completing a mere 49.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile among wideouts

Since the start of last season, the tough Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a mere 60.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Ravens defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a puny 6.9 yards.

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