Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards

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NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 59.8% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a a noteable progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 54.3% rate.
With an excellent 9.5 adjusted yards per target (76th percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling stands as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 5.6% Target Rate this year shows a a significant drop-off in his air attack utilization over last year's 12.8% rate.
After accruing 66.0 air yards per game last season, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has fallen off this season, now boasting 34.0 per game.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).