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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs offense as the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.04 seconds per play.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accumulated a monstrous 63.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown bad efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 9.92 yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a huge 12.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a mere 55.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 6th percentile among wideouts

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