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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has posted quite a few more receiving yards per game (45.0) this season than he did last season (35.0).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 53.9% to 63.5%.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this year, accumulating 8.96 yards-per-target compared to just 7.76 rate last year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the league (171.0) to wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 75.2% of snaps compared to just 62.6% last season.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (56.0 per game) than he did last season (81.0 per game).

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