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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 69.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 54.0% to 58.3%.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this season, notching 9.81 yards-per-target vs just 7.73 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 12.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (61.0 per game) than he did last season (81.0 per game).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this season, notching a measly 3.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.04 rate last season.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 119.0) to WRs this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs this year, giving up 6.57 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the NFL.

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