Mark Ingram Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Mark Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Mark Ingram

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-100/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 44.3% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.
The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 32nd-worst safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Mark Ingram has been a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this year (28.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (48.7%).
Mark Ingram has rushed for many fewer yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (39.0).
Mark Ingram's running efficiency (3.70 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (17th percentile among running backs).

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