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Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Mark Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-100/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 44.3% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 32nd-worst safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Mark Ingram has been a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this year (28.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (48.7%).
  • Mark Ingram has rushed for many fewer yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (39.0).
  • Mark Ingram's running efficiency (3.70 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (17th percentile among running backs).

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