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Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Mark Ingram Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+421/-936).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +432 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +421.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 32nd-worst safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints have been faced with a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

The New Orleans Saints have incorporated some form of misdirection on a measly 38.2% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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