Mark Ingram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Mark Ingram

RB · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Ingram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Ingram to earn 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Ingram to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack this week (10.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 57.6 plays per game.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this game.
Mark Ingram has totaled a puny 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 22nd percentile among running backs.
Mark Ingram has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL among running backs, averaging just 4.73 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 15th percentile.
Mark Ingram has been among the bottom RBs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 6.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 20th percentile.