Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-317).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Baltimore Ravens may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley.
With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Mark Andrews has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 26.1% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
As it relates to air yards, Mark Andrews ranks in the lofty 90th percentile among TEs this year, averaging an impressive 36.0 per game.
Favors Under
The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (49.9% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Baltimore Ravens.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have only 123.7 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
Mark Andrews's 68.9% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys an impressive diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 74.8% mark.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to TEs: 0.00 per game this year.