Mark Andrews Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Touchdowns

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+172/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

While Mark Andrews has earned 10.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Baltimore's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 22.8%.
In regards to air yards, Mark Andrews ranks in the towering 83rd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 32.0 per game.
Mark Andrews's 37.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 89th percentile for tight ends.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Titans defense since the start of last season (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the best in the NFL.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 11.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 48.0% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Right now, the 2nd-most run-centric team in the league in the red zone (48.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Baltimore Ravens.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 124.6 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 52.3 plays per game.