Mark Andrews Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Touchdowns

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+134/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.
Mark Andrews has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
As it relates to air yards, Mark Andrews grades out in the lofty 83rd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a remarkable 32.0 per game.
Mark Andrews's 37.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 88th percentile for tight ends.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has been torched for a monstrous 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the worst rate in the league.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 52.8% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Right now, the 6th-most run-focused team in the league near the end zone (47.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Baltimore Ravens.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (only 52.2 per game on average).