Mark Andrews Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Touchdowns

Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+147/-163).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
Mark Andrews has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.4% since the start of last season, which places him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews has accumulated a monstrous 31.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Mark Andrews's 36.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 85th percentile for tight ends.
With a fantastic rate of 0.25 per game through the air (77th percentile), Mark Andrews has been as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.

Favors Under

This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a massive favorite by 8.5 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 46.3% red zone run rate.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Saints defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.