Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+388/-400).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Ravens may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup QB Jacoby Brissett.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Mark Andrews has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 24.2% this year, which ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Mark Andrews has accrued a colossal 32.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews's 39.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for tight ends.
Favors Under
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 51.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 49.7% red zone run rate.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens this year (only 55.0 per game on average).