Mark Andrews Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 4:52 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is implied by the Ravens being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (42.3 per game) this year.
In this game, Mark Andrews is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.
With a remarkable 19.3% Target Share (93rd percentile) this year, Mark Andrews stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.
Mark Andrews's 3.6 adjusted catches per game this season represents a meaningful improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 2.6 figure.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 55.4% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
Mark Andrews's 69.1% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a significant decline in his receiving skills over last year's 74.8% mark.
This year, the tough Bills defense has conceded a paltry 71.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 7th-best rate in the league.

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