Mark Andrews Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.
The projections expect Mark Andrews to notch 6.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
With a remarkable 17.7% Target% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews rates among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.
With a remarkable 2.8 adjusted receptions per game (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews has been among the top pass-catching TEs in football.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.9%) to tight ends since the start of last season (80.9%).

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 52.8% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (only 52.2 per game on average).
In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

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