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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

In this game, Mark Andrews is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 77th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets.

Mark Andrews's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 74.4% to 83.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Mark Andrews's 28.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 46.8.

Mark Andrews's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 4.5 rate.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.2%) versus tight ends this year (73.2%).

More Mark Andrews Player Props

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