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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.7 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast Mark Andrews to total 4.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among TEs.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.2%) vs. TEs this year (86.2%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.22 seconds per snap.

Mark Andrews's 26.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 46.8.

Mark Andrews's 2.2 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last season's 4.5 figure.

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