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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Mark Andrews's 24.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 46.8.
  • Mark Andrews's pass-catching performance declined this year, totaling a measly 2.0 adjusted receptions vs 4.5 last year.

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