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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, Mark Andrews is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 75th percentile among TEs with 3.4 targets.
  • The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Bengals pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (80.9%) to TEs since the start of last season (80.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Mark Andrews has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (64.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (77.9%).

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