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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an exceptional 75.5% Route% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

In this game, Mark Andrews is forecasted by the projection model to find himself in the 78th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets.

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Mark Andrews comes in as one of the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 3.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.7%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (75.7%).

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