Mark Andrews Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-104/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Andrews has run fewer routes this season (94.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (84.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to garner 9.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Mark Andrews has been among the best pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 6.7 receptions per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in the league.

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