Mark Andrews Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+126/-162).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accrue 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews has been a much bigger part of his team's pass attack this year (34.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.6%).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Mark Andrews has been among the best pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 6.6 receptions per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

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