Mark Andrews Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.0 (-105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 5.0 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to earn 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 27.2% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Mark Andrews has been among the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 6.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the league (56.7%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (56.7%).
The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.