Mark Andrews Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-164).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to notch 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 26.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 100th percentile among TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Mark Andrews has been among the top pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 73.1% to 57.6%.
The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has afforded their QB just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.