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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+128/-173).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -176 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to earn 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this season (33.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (26.6%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Completion% in the NFL (76.2%) vs. TEs this year (76.2%).
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a massive 13-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 56.2 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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