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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an exceptional 75.5% Route% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

In this game, Mark Andrews is forecasted by the projection model to find himself in the 78th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets.

Mark Andrews has notched a whopping 44.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among TEs.

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

With an outstanding 48.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews stands as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

Mark Andrews's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this season, averaging a mere 7.83 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.35 rate last season.

The Bills pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. tight ends this year, giving up 5.00 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

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