Mark Andrews Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offensive approach to lean 2.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (42.0 per game) this year.
In this week's contest, Mark Andrews is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 95th percentile among tight ends with 6.6 targets.
Mark Andrews comes in as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 59.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.7% to 70.6%.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.4% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Ravens.
The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Mark Andrews's 23.3% Target% this year indicates a a significant regression in his air attack utilization over last year's 29.9% mark.

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