Mark Andrews Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and The leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews has run a route on 92.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
The projections expect Mark Andrews to earn 7.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Mark Andrews has compiled a colossal 74.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in football.
Mark Andrews's receiving efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a mere 6.19 yards-per-target vs a 7.76 rate last year.
The Cleveland Browns defense has given up the 4th-fewest receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 37.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.
The Browns pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (65.7%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (65.7%).