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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to earn 7.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews has compiled a whopping 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens have been the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 55.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to be much less involved in his team's pass attack this week (24.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (29.9% in games he has played).
  • Mark Andrews has been among the worst possession receivers in football among tight ends, hauling in just 65.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 34.0) to TEs since the start of last season.

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