Mark Andrews Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accrue 9.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews has been a more important option in his offense's pass attack this season (33.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (26.6%).

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
Mark Andrews has put up a lot fewer receiving yards per game (74.0) this year than he did last year (82.0).
Mark Andrews's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 67.4%.

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