Mark Andrews Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (+111/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to notch 6.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews's 68.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 61.7.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the league (64.0) versus tight ends this year.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in the league (74.4%) versus tight ends this year (74.4%).

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

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