Mark Andrews Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.3 plays per game.
Mark Andrews has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 26.1% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews has posted a whopping 98.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews's 62.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 100th percentile for TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the league (56.7%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (56.7%).
The New England Patriots defense has surrendered the 7th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to TEs: 0.26 per game since the start of last season.
The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.