Mark Andrews Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.8 plays per game.
Mark Andrews has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 25.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews has compiled a whopping 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews's 61.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 100th percentile for TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 73.1% to 57.6%.
The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has afforded their QB just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

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