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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+254/-415).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -388 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -415.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 32.0% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • Mark Andrews's 69.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 61.7.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Mark Andrews grades out in the 98th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.42 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
  • Mark Andrews has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (87.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
  • Mark Andrews's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 64.7%.

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