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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

Mark Andrews Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+109/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +158 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 34.2% this year, which puts him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.

Mark Andrews has posted a colossal 92.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among tight ends.

Mark Andrews's 74.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 61.7.

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Mark Andrews's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 73.1% to 68.5%.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (69.2%) versus TEs this year (69.2%).

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