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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

Marcus Mariota Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-288).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -277 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -288.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 51.8% red zone run rate.

Marcus Mariota isn't afraid to be involved in the run game near the end zone, accounting for 22.5% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone carries this year (89th percentile among quarterbacks).

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

Marcus Mariota has run for 0.29 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in football among quarterbacks (89th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.

The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles rank as the best group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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