Marcus Mariota Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 179.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 187.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 179.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Marcus Mariota has thrown for many more yards per game (174.0) this year than he did last year (1.0).
Marcus Mariota has been among the most effective quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a terrific 7.76 yards-per-target while grading out in the 86th percentile.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in the NFL against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (73.6%).
The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 30.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
Marcus Mariota has been among the least on-target quarterbacks in football this year with a 61.2% Completion%, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.

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