Marcus Mariota Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 206.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 210.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Opposing teams have passed for the 2nd-most yards in football (266.0 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season (74.3%).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.37 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 28.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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