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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 213.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 215.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a huge 10.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.51 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.7% pass rate.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 59.2 plays per game.
  • Marcus Mariota has attempted a mere 4.4 passes per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 3rd percentile among QBs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Marcus Mariota has been among the weakest quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging 26.0 yards per game while ranking in the 3rd percentile.

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