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Marcus Mariota Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 8th-most in football.The Carolina Panthers have intercepted 0.55 passes per game this year, grading out as the 9th-worst defense in football by this statThe Carolina Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 9th-worst CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 27.9 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
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