Marcus Mariota Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Interceptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-121/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 29.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-least of all QBs.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.