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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Interceptions
Player Prop Week 5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Marcus Mariota Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a giant 10-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

Marcus Mariota has thrown 1.05 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 18th percentile among quarterbacks.

The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.2 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 33.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have intercepted 1.58 passes per game this year, grading out as the 4th-best defense in the league by this statistic.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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