Marcus Mariota Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Interceptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks profile as the 6th-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 28.3 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have intercepted 1.15 targets per game this year, grading out as the best defense in football by this statistic.

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