Malik Willis Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Malik Willis

NFL · Player Props

Malik Willis

QB · Miami Dolphins

Touchdowns

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 2:49 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Willis Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+239/-306).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +251 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +239.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Dolphins, who are huge -7-point underdogs.
This year, the weak Patriots defense has been torched for a whopping 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 10th-largest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (51.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Dolphins.
The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.
In this week's contest, Malik Willis is predicted by the predictive model to wind up with the fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 29.1.

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